Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Weymouth		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.5
	1.57	3.9	4.4
	1.57	3.99	4.73
	1.62	4.12	4.91	Watch
	1.57	4.15	4.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 (1.58)	4.03 ↑ (4)	4.68 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
57.8%

Draw
22.7%

Winchester City
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

21.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Weymouth - Winchester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, O'Connell K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Touray E. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Genesini B. ⚽,

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 2-2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Weymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Weymouth is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Winchester City - Weymouth	2:2 ✺
English National League South
21.09.24	Weymouth - Worthing	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Sholing - Weymouth	1:4 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	Dorking Wanderers - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
03.09.24	Weymouth - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWWL
- Winchester City
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Winchester City - Weymouth	2:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.09.24	Merthyr Town - Winchester City	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Tiverton Town - Winchester City	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.24	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Winchester City - Hungerford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
28.09.24	Winchester City - Weymouth	2:2
English FA Trophy
30.10.15	Winchester City - Weymouth	1:2

Weymouth - Winchester City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide