Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 36

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hungerford Town		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.5
	1.56	4.4	4.4
	1.59	4.49	4.65
	1.53	4.3	4.7
	1.56	4.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)	4.3 ↑ (3.88)	4.53 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
58.5%

Draw
21.3%

Winchester City
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

22.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Hungerford Town - Winchester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Barron J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 0.

Hungerford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Winchester is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hungerford is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
15.03.25	Plymouth Parkway - Hungerford Town	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Sholing - Hungerford Town	4:0 ✺
25.02.25	Hungerford Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Hungerford Town - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLTW
- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
15.03.25	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Poole Town - Winchester City	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Winchester City - Sholing	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Taunton Town - Winchester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.10.24	Winchester City - Hungerford Town	2:2
English FA Cup
17.09.24	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	0:1
14.09.24	Winchester City - Hungerford Town	1:1
English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Winchester City - Hungerford Town	1:0
14.11.23	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	2:2
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Winchester City - Hungerford Town	3:5

Hungerford Town - Winchester City