Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby)


	Whitby Town		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.20	2.45
	2.45	3.15	2.45
	2.54	3.38	2.41
	2.6	3.51	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.35
	2.58	3.18	2.44
	2.5	3.15	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.58)	3.27 ↓ (3.41)	2.44 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
35.7%

Draw
27.4%

Warrington Town
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Warrington Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Whitby Town - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
11', 0 - 1, Vela J. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Butler S. ⚽,
20', 0 - 3, Daly R. ⚽,
45+5', 0 - 4, Earl L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 5, Daly R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 3.

In recent matches, Warrington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Whitby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warrington	10	5	3	2	20:16	4	18
15	Whitby	11	4	0	7	17:32	-15	12

Last Results with these Odds

Whitby Town - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.97%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Warrington Town - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.82%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.08.26	Ashton United - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Whitby Town - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Bridlington Town - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.04.26	Whitby Town - Cleethorpes Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTT
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.08.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Warrington Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Warrington Town - Hyde United	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Marine - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Warrington Town - Southport	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Warrington Town - Whitby Town	0:2
16.08.25	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	4:0
28.02.23	Warrington Town - Whitby Town	2:2
08.11.22	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	2:1
29.01.22	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	1:1
16.10.21	Warrington Town - Whitby Town	0:0
03.10.20	Warrington Town - Whitby Town	1:0

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