Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 4

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Ilkeston		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.52	3.3	2.35
	2.67	3.59	2.26
	2.59	3.76	2.39	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.2
	2.5	3.62	2.29
	2.55	3.35	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.48)	3.5 ↑ (3.49)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
35.4%

Draw
25.6%

Warrington Town
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

25.7%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ilkeston - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Sadiq Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Daly R. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Dwyer A. ⚽,

Preview

Warrington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Warrington has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Ilkeston: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warrington	10	5	3	2	20:16	4	18
21	Ilkeston	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ilkeston - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.19%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Warrington Town - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
15.08.26	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Emley - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Ilkeston - Basford United	4:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.04.26	Ilkeston - United of Manchester	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWT
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.08.26	Warrington Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Warrington Town - Hyde United	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Marine - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Warrington Town - Southport	2:3 ✺
21.07.26	Warrington Town - Macclesfield Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
04.04.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Town	1:1
19.08.25	Warrington Town - Ilkeston	1:0
04.03.17	Ilkeston - Warrington Town	0:2
10.09.16	Warrington Town - Ilkeston	4:1

Upcoming Matches