Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Widzew Łódź II		Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.60	2.20
	2.7	3.4	2.18
	2.74	3.56	2.18
	2.73	3.72	2.19	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.13
	2.81	3.74	2.18	Watch
	2.39	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.39)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	2.2 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź II
33.9%

Draw
25.2%

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

25.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź II than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3%)

Widzew Łódź II - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Czerniatowicz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', 1 - 1, Kobialka M. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Sauczek C. ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, ⚽,
75', 2 - 3, Gladysz M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	11	6	3	2	27:18	9	21
10	Widzew Lodz II	10	4	2	4	21:18	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.26	Widzew Łódź II - Wisła Płock II	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Widzew Łódź II	3:4 ✺
23.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:1 ✺
19.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź II	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWT
- Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	5:0 ✺
29.08.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTWW

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