Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 25

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Wikielec		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.2	2.25
	3.05	3.3	2.28
	3.04	3.2	2.21	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.3
	2.8	3.52	2.28	Watch
	3.88	3.97	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.88)	3.35 ↓ (3.97)	2.16 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wikielec
30%

Draw
27.4%

Wigry Suwałki
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

22.3%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

22%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wikielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wikielec's performance.

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigry Suwałki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wikielec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigry Suwałki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wikielec - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
41', 1 - 1, Witek J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 2, Magnuszewski K. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Wikielec is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wigry has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wigry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wikielec has had a series of away games.

Wigry will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wikielec won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Wikielec won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.03.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Wasilków - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Wikielec - Znicz Biała Piska	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wikielec	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Broń Radom - Wikielec	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWWWW
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.03.26	Wigry Suwałki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Wigry Suwałki	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Wigry Suwałki - Znicz Biała Piska	7:0 ✺
07.03.26	Troszyn - Wigry Suwałki	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Widzew Łódź II - Wigry Suwałki	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wikielec	0:0
22.11.24	Wikielec - Wigry Suwałki	1:1
03.08.24	Wigry Suwałki - Wikielec	0:0

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