Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Wimborne Town		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.45	3.45
	1.89	3.73	3.68	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.5
	1.83	3.5	3.71
	1.9	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.8)	3.49 ↓ (3.9)	3.59 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
48.6%

Draw
26.1%

Basingstoke Town
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

23.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Wimborne Town - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Bustamante M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Barough J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimborne won 1.

Wimborne has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Basingstoke is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Basingstoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wimborne has had a series of away games.

Recently, Basingstoke has had a series of home games.

Wimborne could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wimborne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimborne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Wimborne: 0.79% Basingstoke: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wimborne	8	3	3	2	10:4	6	12
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14:16	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Weymouth - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Wimborne Town - Poole Town	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Wimborne Town	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Bracknell Town - Wimborne Town	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Wimborne Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLLLT
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
06.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Hanwell Town	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Sholing - Basingstoke Town	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	Basingstoke Town - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Basingstoke Town - Walton & Hersham	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.08.25	Basingstoke Town - Wimborne Town	2:0
12.04.25	Wimborne Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0
14.12.24	Basingstoke Town - Wimborne Town	2:1
30.03.19	Wimborne Town - Basingstoke Town	2:4
English FA Trophy
27.10.18	Basingstoke Town - Wimborne Town	4:2
English Southern League South Division
15.09.18	Basingstoke Town - Wimborne Town	3:2

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