Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.35	2.88
	2.16	3.36	2.97
	2.18	3.71	2.94	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.45
	2.28	3.3	2.78
	2.54	3.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.22)	3.44 ↓ (3.71)	2.74 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
40.2%

Draw
26.5%

Evesham United
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

25.1%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

25.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Basingstoke Town - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Upton B. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 11).

Recent form of Basingstoke has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Evesham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Evesham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Basingstoke might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basingstoke won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
29.11.25	Basingstoke Town - Walton & Hersham	0:3 ✺
25.11.25	Yate Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
18.11.25	Basingstoke Town - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Weymouth - Basingstoke Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
13.12.25	Evesham United - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Gosport Borough - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sholing - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
25.11.25	Evesham United - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Evesham United - Dorchester Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.08.25	Evesham United - Basingstoke Town	1:1

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