Match Info

Challenge League - Round 3

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Schützenwiese (Winterthur)

Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Winterthur		Wil 1900

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.40	3.25
	1.91	3.50	3.25
	1.96	4.11	3.50
	1.91	4.01	3.42	Watch
	1.93	4.05	3.30
	1.86	3.78	3.36	Watch
	1.90	3.70	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)	3.79 ↓ (3.8)	3.34 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winterthur
48.2%

Draw
24.3%

Wil 1900
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

24.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Wil 1900 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Winterthur - Wil 1900 Predictions

Users Predictions: Winterthur will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Spagnoli A. (G) 21. Ottiger S. 16. Arnold R. (C) 4. Camara S. 18. Diaby S. 19. Odin Y. 7. Zuffi L. 27. Rohner F. 20. Marchesano A. 11. Kehrer E. 9. Buess R.	1. Muslija G. (G) 28. Seferovic T. 13. Kaiba D. 15. Schmid Y. (C) 26. Ato-Zandanga N. 4. Jacovic D. 10. Rupp N. 7. Weber P. 20. Rexhaj A. 11. Keita B. 14. Breedijk L.
Substitutes
68. Beyer B. 33. Citherlet T. 44. Cueni S. 8. Golliard T. 45. Jankewitz A. 1. Kuster M. (G) 37. Maluvunu E. 40. Okafor T. 22. Turkes A.	33. Allou Y. 8. Bunjaku O. 30. Correia S. 9. Diarra M. 18. Fischer P. 2. Nwannah U. 23. Okafor I. 3. Rutz J. 29. Widmer J. (G)
Coaches
Rahmen P.	Hammerli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Seferovic T. (Own goal),
9', 2 - 0, Ottiger S. ⚽, Arnold R. (A),
17', Rupp N. 🟨,
18', 3 - 0, Marchesano A. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Breedijk L. ↓, Fischer P. ↑,
40', Arnold R. ↓, Citherlet T. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rohner F. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
46', Ato-Zandanga N. ↓, Okafor I. ↑,
49', 4 - 0, Kehrer E. ⚽,
59', Rupp N. 🟨,
64', Weber P. ↓, Bunjaku O. ↑,
64', Keita B. ↓, Allou Y. ↑,
66', Buess R. ↓, Cueni S. ↑,
66', Marchesano A. ↓, Beyer B. ↑,
80', Jacovic D. ↓, Nwannah U. ↑,
80', Ottiger S. ↓, Golliard T. ↑,
84', 5 - 0, Beyer B. ⚽, Golliard T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 3.

Winterthur is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wil has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Winterthur could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Winterthur: Burkart N. (Muscle Injury) Camara S. (Muscle Injury) Essiam E. (Muscle Injury) Marchesano A. (Injury)

There will not play in Wil: Bytyqi E. (Injury) Selmonaj J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wil: Schreiber L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19:8	11	18
9	Wil	9	2	3	4	15:21	-6	9

Last Results with these Odds

Wil 1900 - the odds 3.71 are the expected chance of winning is 25.18%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Winterthur
Swiss Challenge League
31.07.26	Kriens - Winterthur	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Winterthur - Yverdon	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Winterthur - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
14.07.26	Winterthur - Brühl	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Luzern - Winterthur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTTL
- Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League
31.07.26	Wil 1900 - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Wil 1900	4:5 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Wil 1900 - Luzern	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Wil 1900 - Grasshoppers	3:2 ✺
26.06.26	Austria Lustenau - Wil 1900	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.10.24	Winterthur - Wil 1900	2:2
Swiss Cup
14.09.24	Wil 1900 - Winterthur	2:3 penalties
Swiss Challenge League
09.05.22	Wil 1900 - Winterthur	1:1
12.02.22	Winterthur - Wil 1900	4:0
11.12.21	Wil 1900 - Winterthur	3:5
30.07.21	Winterthur - Wil 1900	3:1
10.04.21	Winterthur - Wil 1900	1:0

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