Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Luzern		Winterthur

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.33	4.80
	1.46	4.45	5.4
	1.48	5.5	4.8
	2.11	2.98	3.67	Watch
	1.46	5.4	3.85
	1.48	4.95	5.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.31)	4.6 ↓ (5.4)	4.62 ↓ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
59.4%

Draw
20.3%

Winterthur
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70%

17%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luzern's form might have worsened.

Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Winterthur's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Luzern - Winterthur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, ⚽,
32', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 1.

Winterthur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Luzern is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Luzern will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 42:28. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Luzern - Lausanne Ouchy	3:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
16.05.26	Winterthur - Luzern	0:3 ✺
12.05.26	Luzern - Zürich	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Luzern - Servette	3:3 ✺
02.05.26	Lausanne-Sport - Luzern	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWTW
- FC Winterthur
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Winterthur - St. Gallen	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
16.05.26	Winterthur - Luzern	0:3 ✺
12.05.26	Grasshoppers - Winterthur	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Winterthur - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Winterthur - Zürich	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
16.05.26	Winterthur - Luzern	0:3
15.03.26	Luzern - Winterthur	1:2
29.11.25	Luzern - Winterthur	1:3
25.10.25	Winterthur - Luzern	2:2
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Luzern - Winterthur	1:1
Swiss Super League
09.02.25	Luzern - Winterthur	3:2
14.12.24	Winterthur - Luzern	3:4

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