Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Wisła II Kraków		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	1.73	3.75	3.9
	2.38	4.07	2.37
	2.49	3.99	2.29
	2.51	3.54	2.33	Watch
	1.73	3.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.55)	3.77 ↑ (3.5)	2.85 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła II Kraków
42.3%

Draw
24.9%

Podhale Nowy Targ
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła II Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła II Kraków's performance.

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Podhale Nowy Targ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła II Kraków than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła II Kraków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Podhale Nowy Targ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Wisła II Kraków - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wisła II will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Podhale will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
84', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła II Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.10.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wisła II Kraków	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Wisła II Kraków - Wisłoka Dębica	2:3 ✺
29.09.24	Avia Świdnik - Wisła II Kraków	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Wisła II Kraków - Star Starachowice	3:1 ✺
13.09.24	Wiślanie Skawina - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWT
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.10.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Korona Kielce 2	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:0 ✺
29.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.09.24	Wisłoka Dębica - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLW

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