Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Wisła II Kraków		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.30	2.00
	3.05	3.35	2
	3.11	3.57	2.04	Watch
	3.01	3.74	2.08	Watch
	2.86	3.37	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.86)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)	2.04 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła II Kraków
29.8%

Draw
26%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła II Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła II Kraków than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Lazarz P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Wisła II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ostrowiec is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ostrowiec will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	11	5	5	1	16:9	7	20
12	Wisla II	11	3	4	4	13:16	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 42.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła II Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.09.26	Wisła II Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Wisła II Kraków	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Moravia Morawica	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWTL
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.09.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Moravia Morawica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:4 ✺
23.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
09.05.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wisła II Kraków	4:3
18.10.25	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0
22.11.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wisła II Kraków	2:1
03.08.24	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:1
31.08.16	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	Canceled

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