Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion MOSiR Puławy (Pulawy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wisła Puławy		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	3.65	3.65	1.81	Watch
	3.86	4	1.78
	3.97	4.03	1.77	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.7
	3.94	3.74	1.73	Watch
	3.65	3.65	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.46)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	1.76 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Puławy
24.1%

Draw
24.3%

Polonia Bytom
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

25.3%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

24.7%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Puławy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Puławy than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Wisła Puławy - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wisła Puławy will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szpaderski J. (G) 3. Galazka A. 6. Kabaj L. 11. Kargulewicz K. (C) 5. Koziej S. 8. Kumoch K. 20. Piatek K. 17. Sledzicki R. 25. Stromecki M. 19. Szymanek K. 21. Zylla M.	99. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 18. Gajda T. 25. Konieczny D. 8. Labojko M. 3. Michalski S. 29. Piekarski A. 6. Scislak D. 21. Szumilas W. 14. Szymusik G. 7. Zielinski L.
Substitutes
. Cholewa R. . Kielkucki M. 15. Kozdron O. 22. Luczuk F. 12. Murat K. (G) 4. Nassor M. 2. Walis P. 10. Wiktoruk B. 16. Zych J.	22. Bedronka M. 30. Sewerys R. 17. Steblecki S. 16. Stefanski P. 1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 4. Szywacz R. 28. Wypart O. 19. Zabinski K. 10. Zagiel F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
45+1', 0 - 1, Gajda T. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Szumilas W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Koziej S. ↓, Zych J. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Zylla M. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Szumilas W. ⚽,
58', Szymusik G. 🟨,
69', Scislak D. ↓, Zabinski K. ↑,
69', Szymusik G. ↓, Stefanski P. ↑,
69', Szymanek K. ↓, Nassor M. ↑,
79', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Puławy
Polish Division 2
21.09.24	Skra Częstochowa - Wisła Puławy	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Wisła Puławy	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Wisła Puławy - Swit Skolwin	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Wisła Puławy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wisła Puławy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWWL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Avia Świdnik - Polonia Bytom	4:3 penalties ✺
Polish Division 2
21.09.24	Polonia Bytom - ŁKS Łódź II	3:0 ✺
18.09.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	4:2 ✺
31.08.24	Swit Skolwin - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Polonia Bytom - Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
24.03.24	Polonia Bytom - Wisła Puławy	2:2
11.09.23	Wisła Puławy - Polonia Bytom	0:0
28.11.15	Polonia Bytom - Wisła Puławy	0:3
08.08.15	Wisła Puławy - Polonia Bytom	2:1

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