Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Witton Albion		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	1.8
	3.3	3.5	1.93
	3.38	3.55	2.05
	3.3	3.6	1.83
	3.3	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.66)	3.6 ↓ (3.74)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Witton Albion
27.3%

Draw
25.3%

Scarborough Athletic
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

24.7%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

19.4%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Witton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Witton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Witton Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scarborough Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Witton Albion - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Witton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Scarborough is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Witton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Scarborough will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Witton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Witton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Witton Albion
English NPL Premier Division
25.01.22	South Shields - Witton Albion	3:1 ✺
22.01.22	Mickleover Sports - Witton Albion	2:1 ✺
15.01.22	Witton Albion - Matlock Town	0:1 ✺
08.01.22	Witton Albion - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
27.12.21	Witton Albion - Warrington Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Scarborough Athletic
English NPL Premier Division
22.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Grantham Town	2:0 ✺
18.01.22	Matlock Town - Scarborough Athletic	0:0 ✺
15.01.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
11.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1 ✺
08.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Basford United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.10.21	Scarborough Athletic - Witton Albion	3:2
10.10.20	Witton Albion - Scarborough Athletic	1:0
23.11.19	Witton Albion - Scarborough Athletic	3:1
31.08.19	Scarborough Athletic - Witton Albion	0:0
02.03.19	Witton Albion - Scarborough Athletic	2:1
02.10.18	Scarborough Athletic - Witton Albion	2:0

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