Match Info

National League North - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.88
	2.1	3.3	2.85
	2.18	3.4	2.98
	2.22	3.44	3.1
	1.51	4.00	6.15	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.88
	2.24	3.35	2.96
	2.36	3.44	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.36)	3.44 (3.44)	3.31 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
44.2%

Draw
27.4%

Buxton
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.7%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

25.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scarborough Athletic's performance.

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buxton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buxton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Scarborough Athletic - Buxton Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Scarborough will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Buxton will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Scarborough Athletic will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Colville L. ⚽,
3', 2 - 0, Hull J. ⚽,
7', 2 - 1, Brennan L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 1.

Scarborough is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Buxton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
30.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Merthyr Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Peterborough Sports	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	Chorley - Scarborough Athletic	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Fylde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWTW
- Buxton FC
English National League North
30.08.25	South Shields - Buxton	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	AFC Telford United - Buxton	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Buxton - Hereford	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Marine - Buxton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
12.04.25	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	0:3
05.11.24	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	2:0
02.03.24	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	0:0
21.10.23	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	1:0
15.04.23	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	0:1
15.11.22	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	0:1
English NPL Premier Division
11.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1

Upcoming Matches