Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 25

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Wiązownica		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	1.98
	3	3.75	2.01
	3.12	3.92	1.95	Watch
	3.23	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3	3.75	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	3.76 ↑ (3.69)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiązownica
29.8%

Draw
24.1%

Chełmianka Chełm
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

24.7%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

23.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiązownica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiązownica than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Wiązownica - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kitlinski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
60', 1 - 1, Piekarski P. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, ⚽,
72', 🟥,
88', 2 - 2, Mroczek K. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 3, Kasprzyk D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wiązownica won 2.

Wiązownica is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chełmianka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chełmianka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wiązownica won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:15 (average 2:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Wiązownica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Wiązownica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.04.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Wiązownica	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Wiązownica - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Wiązownica	3:1 ✺
14.03.25	Wiązownica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wiązownica	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTLTL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.04.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Lewart Lubartów	5:1 ✺
29.03.25	Czarni Połaniec - Chełmianka Chełm	2:3 ✺
26.03.25	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	2:3 ✺
21.03.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.09.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiązownica	3:0
25.05.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiązownica	2:5
03.11.23	Wiązownica - Chełmianka Chełm	0:4
15.04.23	Wiązownica - Chełmianka Chełm	3:0
10.09.22	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiązownica	4:1
07.03.21	Wiązownica - Chełmianka Chełm	3:1
08.08.20	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiązownica	1:2

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