Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 6

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Wiślanie Skawina		Czarni Połaniec

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.50	3.40
	1.81	3.50	3.55
	1.83	3.55	3.72
	1.66	3.98	4.16
	1.81	3.45	3.45
	1.82	4.05	3.53	Watch
	1.49	4.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.49)	3.73 ↓ (4.1)	3.79 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiślanie Skawina
51.7%

Draw
24.3%

Czarni Połaniec
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

21.6%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

20.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiślanie Skawina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wiślanie Skawina's form might have worsened.

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Czarni Połaniec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wiślanie Skawina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Czarni Połaniec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5).

Wiślanie is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Czarni Połaniec's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Wiślanie is the team to beat.

We predict that Wiślanie will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wiślanie won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wiślanie won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18:16	2	20
6	Wislanie Skawina	11	5	2	4	15:11	4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.08.26	Hetman Zamość - Wiślanie Skawina	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Wiślanie Skawina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWWW
- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Czarni Połaniec	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Czarni Połaniec - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Czarni Połaniec - Wieczysta II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
09.05.26	Czarni Połaniec - Wiślanie Skawina	1:0
18.10.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec	0:2
19.04.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec	1:2
21.09.24	Czarni Połaniec - Wiślanie Skawina	0:0

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