Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 34

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Korona Kielce 2		Wiślanie Skawina

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.55	2.58
	2.72	3.57	2.09
	2.25	3.6	2.7
	2.13	3.65	2.79	Watch
	2.74	3.41	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.74)	3.56 ↑ (3.41)	2.46 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
37.5%

Draw
25.5%

Wiślanie Skawina
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korona Kielce 2's performance.

Wiślanie Skawina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Korona Kielce 2 - Wiślanie Skawina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Karlinski B. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Shkitun R. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Nojszewski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 3 - 1, Kuzera N. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

Korona 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Wiślanie has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wislanie Skawina	11	5	2	4	15:11	4	17
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23:27	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Wiślanie Skawina - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 41.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.05.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Czarni Połaniec	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Avia Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	5:1 ✺
13.05.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Wisłoka Dębica	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Wisła II Kraków - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.05.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Wiślanie Skawina	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Wiślanie Skawina	2:2 ✺
13.05.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Czarni Połaniec - Wiślanie Skawina	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.05.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Wiślanie Skawina	5:1
09.11.24	Wiślanie Skawina - Korona Kielce 2	1:1

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