Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday


	Woking		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5.5
	1.5	4.3	5.2
	1.54	4.51	5.58
	1.57	3.6	4.8
	1.5	4.5	5.35
	1.49	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.91)	4.3 ↑ (3.64)	5.31 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
61%

Draw
21.5%

Dorking Wanderers
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Woking's performance.

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorking Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Woking that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorking Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Woking - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: Woking will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Jaaskelainen W. (G) 25. Akinola O. 10. Amond P. 47. Bradshaw Z. 3. Casey J. (C) 17. Kellerman J. 7. Korboa R. 2. Moss D. 12. Robinson M. 5. Taylor G. 6. Wilkinson L.	1. Male H. (G) 30. Bowerman S. 5. Craig T. 22. Fuller B. (C) 20. Gallagher D. 6. McManus N. 11. McShane J. 18. Moore L. 24. Ottaway H. 3. Taylor B. 17. Taylor J.
Substitutes
26. Boateng N. 1. Day J. (G) 28. Habergham S. 11. Lewis D. 8. Willmott R.	12. Kennedy C. 25. Kuhl A. 39. Lankshear A. 4. Pybus D. 19. Seager R.

Preview

Recent matches Woking is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dorking is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Woking is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Woking won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Woking won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League
26.08.23	Gateshead - Woking	1:3 ✺
19.08.23	Barnet - Woking	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Woking - Rochdale	3:2 ✺
12.08.23	Woking - Altrincham	2:3 ✺
05.08.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Woking	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLT
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
26.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - York City	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Solihull Moors - Dorking Wanderers	3:0 ✺
15.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - Southend United	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Chesterfield - Dorking Wanderers	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.04.23	Dorking Wanderers - Woking	1:2
25.10.22	Woking - Dorking Wanderers	3:3

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