Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	Dorking Wanderers		York City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2
	3.15	3.6	2.04
	3.44	3.93	2
	2.7	3.25	2.25
	3.35	3.8	1.95
	3.3	3.65	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.78)	3.62 ↑ (3.48)	2.03 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
28.7%

Draw
25.6%

York City
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorking Wanderers's form might have worsened.

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting York City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Dorking Wanderers - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dorking will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). York will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 37. Francomb G. 5. Craig T. 22. Fuller B. 6. McManus N. 20. Gallagher D. 17. Taylor J. 18. Moore L. 11. McShane J. 9. Prior J. 30. Bowerman S.	1. Whitley R. (G) 15. Howe C. 5. Cordner T. 3. Crookes A. 2. Fallowfield R. 18. Batty D. 8. Dyson O. 14. John-Lewis L. N. (C) 9. Akinyemi D. 11. Kouhyar Q. 32. Stott J.
Substitutes
25. Everitt M. 24. Ottaway H. 4. Pybus D. 19. Seager R. 3. Taylor B.	10. De Castro Q. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 6. McLaughlin P. 23. Siziba Z. 35. Watson R. (G)

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

York will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dorking won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorking won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
19.08.23	Solihull Moors - Dorking Wanderers	3:0 ✺
15.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - Southend United	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Chesterfield - Dorking Wanderers	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.23	Farnborough - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLT
- York City
English National League
19.08.23	Aldershot Town - York City	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	York City - Altrincham	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	York City - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Wealdstone - York City	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Accrington Stanley - York City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.03.23	York City - Dorking Wanderers	2:1
26.11.22	Dorking Wanderers - York City	1:0

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