Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday


	Wolkite Kenema		Defence Force

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.8	2
	3.9	2.79	2
	4.02	2.82	1.99
	4.5	3.4	1.67
	3.95	2.93	1.97
	3.9	2.85	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.6)	2.93 ↓ (3.42)	1.94 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolkite Kenema
22.6%

Draw
30.8%

Defence Force
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.5%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

26%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolkite Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defence Force might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolkite Kenema than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defence Force could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wolkite Kenema - Defence Force Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Alewi F. (G) 16. Bejrond T. 17. Belayneh A. 6. Demssie D. 5. Hailemariam G. 3. Isaias H. 14. Maereg W. 21. Mekecha D. 9. Mengistu S. 25. Paulus M. 8. Tilahun S.	1. Alionzi N. (G) 5. Badu S. 18. Bekele S. 19. Disasa G. 20. Girma B. 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 17. Mengistu Y. 9. Saliso S. 15. Tamene A. 14. Wondimu M.
Substitutes
28. Abdella F. 24. Adams W. 30. Ayano M. (G) 7. Bekalu G. 31. Daniel S. 27. Ergeze M. 23. Faisal A. 19. Kemal J. 10. Lokk R. 11. Mebrate G. 20. Mesfin M. 18. Sani A.	23. Adane M. 28. Akuneto C. 12. Dawiti Y. 44. Dereje W. 7. Desta B. 34. Hailu N. 29. Kebede Y. 26. Mohammed I. 13. Negash A. 47. Ofisa M. 31. Sitotaw A. (G) 30. Tefera D. (G)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Recent matches Wolkite Kenema is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defence Force in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Defence Force will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wolkite Kenema won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Wolkite Kenema won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolkite Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
07.12.23	Wolkite Kenema - Hambericho Durame	1:0 ✺
01.12.23	Shashemene Kenema - Wolkite Kenema	0:1 ✺
31.10.23	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Wolkite Kenema	2:0 ✺
26.10.23	Wolkite Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:3 ✺
20.10.23	Hadiya Hossana - Wolkite Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLT
- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
08.12.23	Defence Force - Adama City	2:1 ✺
01.12.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Defence Force - Hambericho Durame	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Welayta Dicha - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Defence Force - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
11.06.23	Wolkite Kenema - Defence Force	0:2
12.12.22	Wolkite Kenema - Defence Force	1:1
14.06.22	Wolkite Kenema - Defence Force	0:0
06.02.22	Defence Force - Wolkite Kenema	3:1

Wolkite Kenema - Defence Force: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide