Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 1 December 2023, Friday


	Ethiopian Medhin		Defence Force

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.8	2.35
	3.08	2.84	2.33
	3.08	2.84	2.33
	2.98	2.92	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.5)	2.85 ↓ (2.88)	2.34 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
29.9%

Draw
31.6%

Defence Force
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

30.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

31.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.

Defence Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defence Force, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ethiopian Medhin - Defence Force Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nuri A. (G) 23. Darza Y. 20. Dejene T. 9. Dereje A. 21. Gebreselassie N. 18. Gezahegn W. 3. Kassaye Y. 2. Mohammed A. 10. Mulugeta B. 15. Ocheng B. 8. Olysema C.	1. Alionzi N. (G) 28. Akuneto C. 5. Badu S. 20. Girma B. 6. Hagos G. 11. Mamo D. 17. Mengistu Y. 13. Negash A. 9. Saliso S. 15. Tamene A. 14. Wondimu M.
Substitutes
14. Abera M. 25. Chukwuemeka G. 16. Desta G. (G) 22. Geremew Y. 5. Hasan S. 17. Kebala M. 47. Mohammed H. 7. Mudesir A. 4. Tute W. 6. Washe M. 27. Wondimu A. 13. Yohannes T. (G)	23. Adane M. 18. Bekele S. 16. Belachew T. 12. Dawiti Y. 24. Godana B. . Hadiya H. 32. Hailu N. 29. Kebede Y. . Mohammed I. 37. Muhaba A. 47. Ofisa M. 30. Tefera D. (G)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4).

Recent matches Ethiopian Medhin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defence Force is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ethiopian Medhin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ethiopian Medhin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
02.11.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George	0:3 ✺
26.10.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
19.10.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
13.10.23	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLTW
- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.11.23	Defence Force - Hambericho Durame	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Welayta Dicha - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Defence Force - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Bahir Dar Kenema - Defence Force	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Hadiya Hossana - Defence Force	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
20.04.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Defence Force	0:1
26.10.22	Defence Force - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2

Ethiopian Medhin - Defence Force: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide