Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 6

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: WIN Stadium (Wollongong) 🌤️ ...


	Wollongong Wolves		North West Sydney Spirit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.45
	2.4	3.86	2.53
	2.41	3.63	2.60	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.45
	2.48	3.71	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (3.01)	3.64 ↓ (3.74)	2.51 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wollongong Wolves
38.1%

Draw
25.3%

North West Sydney Spirit
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

24.6%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

24.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wollongong Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wollongong Wolves's performance.

North West Sydney Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North West Sydney Spirit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wollongong Wolves than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wollongong Wolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North West Sydney Spirit than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North West Sydney Spirit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wollongong Wolves - North West Sydney Spirit Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wollongong Wolves (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wollongong Wolves won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Wollongong Wolves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wollongong Wolves won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wollongong Wolves won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wollongong Wolves
Australian NPL NSW
07.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - Wollongong Wolves	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Wollongong Wolves	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wollongong Wolves - Marconi Stallions	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wollongong Wolves - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	St George Saints - Wollongong Wolves	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL
- North West Sydney Spirit
Australian NPL NSW
07.03.26	North West Sydney Spirit - St. George City	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Sydney Olympic - North West Sydney Spirit	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Sydney FC U23	0:4 ✺
14.02.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - North West Sydney Spirit	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Sutherland Sharks	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
16.08.25	Wollongong Wolves - North West Sydney Spirit	1:1
03.05.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Wollongong Wolves	1:0
18.08.24	Wollongong Wolves - North West Sydney Spirit	0:0
11.05.24	North West Sydney Spirit - Wollongong Wolves	1:0
16.07.23	Wollongong Wolves - North West Sydney Spirit	2:1
01.04.23	North West Sydney Spirit - Wollongong Wolves	5:4

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wollongong Wolves
Australian Championship
31.10.26	Wollongong Wolves - Queensland Lions	✺

Wollongong Wolves - North West Sydney Spirit