Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 3

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Christie Park (Sydney)


	North West Sydney Spirit		Sydney FC U23

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.75	3.05
	1.9	4.13	3.3
	1.94	4.32	3.09	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.1
	1.99	3.9	3.23	Watch
	1.84	4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.12)	3.95 ↑ (3.6)	3.17 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North West Sydney Spirit
47.8%

Draw
23.3%

Sydney FC U23
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North West Sydney Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North West Sydney Spirit's performance.

Sydney FC U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

North West Sydney Spirit - Sydney FC U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Glasson M. ⚽,
31', Jamba B. 🟥,
32', 0 - 2, Glasson M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 3, Lacey J. ⚽,
67', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

NWS Spirit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

NWS Spirit could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, NWS Spirit won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, NWS Spirit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

North West Sydney Spirit - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.67%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North West Sydney Spirit
Australian NPL NSW
14.02.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - North West Sydney Spirit	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Sutherland Sharks	1:0 ✺
Australian Championship
22.11.25	South Melbourne - North West Sydney Spirit	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Canberra Croatia - North West Sydney Spirit	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Avondale - North West Sydney Spirit	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL
- Sydney FC U23
Australian NPL NSW
13.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - Sydney FC U23	4:0 ✺
06.02.26	Sydney FC U23 - SD Raiders	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Sydney FC U23 - Rockdale Ilinden	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City	3:3 ✺
15.08.25	Sydney FC U23 - St George Saints	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
23.05.25	Sydney FC U23 - North West Sydney Spirit	2:0
08.02.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Sydney FC U23	3:2
24.05.24	Sydney FC U23 - North West Sydney Spirit	1:3

North West Sydney Spirit - Sydney FC U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide