Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Worthing		East Thurrock United

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.43	4.5	5.4
	1.46	4.73	5.96
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.44	4.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.58 ↑ (4.58)	5.43 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
63.3%

Draw
19.9%

East Thurrock United
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

19.9%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

11.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

East Thurrock United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-27%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worthing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Thurrock United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Worthing - East Thurrock United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

East Thurrock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Worthing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English FA Cup
07.09.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Worthing	3:1 ✺
04.09.21	Worthing - Corinthian-Casuals	1:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.08.21	Worthing - Bognor Regis Town	0:2 ✺
28.08.21	Cray Wanderers - Worthing	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	Worthing - Bowers & Pitsea	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWW
- East Thurrock United
English FA Cup
04.09.21	Cambridge City - East Thurrock United	1:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.08.21	East Thurrock United - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Bowers & Pitsea - East Thurrock United	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	East Thurrock United - Bognor Regis Town	2:2 ✺
14.08.21	Cheshunt - East Thurrock United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.20	East Thurrock United - Worthing	1:3
04.01.20	East Thurrock United - Worthing	0:0
05.10.19	Worthing - East Thurrock United	2:3

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