Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Września		Elana Toruń

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.3	3.45
	1.19	5.76	9.97
	1.4	5.41	5.21	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.38	4.55	6.38	Watch
	1.9	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.77)	4.3 ↑ (3.51)	5.49 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Września
60.7%

Draw
22%

Elana Toruń
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

25.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

23.6%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Września has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Września's performance.

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elana Toruń might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Września than the current prediction. (-26.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Września that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (+22.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elana Toruń could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Września - Elana Toruń Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Września will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Gielda J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Frydrych M. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Kaminski S. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Bartkowski J. ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, Gabrych M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4).

Września is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elana Toruń is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Września will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Września won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Elana Torun	11	2	4	5	16:22	-6	10
17	Wrzesnia	11	1	5	5	11:23	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Września	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Września - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Września	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Września - Noteć Czarnków	0:1 ✺
01.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Września	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWWLW
- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Elana Toruń - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Luzino - Elana Toruń	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Elana Toruń - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Elana Toruń - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.10.25	Elana Toruń - Września	1:0

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