Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 27

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Września		Tłuchowia Tłuchowo

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	4.4 (4.4)	5.4 (5.4)

The best margin for this event is 12.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Września
63.4%

Draw
20.2%

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

18.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Września have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Września than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Września is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tłuchowia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tłuchowia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Września has had a series of away games.

In this match, Września is a strong favorite.

We predict that Września will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Września won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Wrzesnia	11	1	5	5	11:23	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Września	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Września - Noteć Czarnków	0:1 ✺
01.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Września	0:3 ✺
28.03.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Września	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Września	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WLWWW
- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Kluczevia Stargard	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Unia Swarzędz - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Września	1:0

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