Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Wusum Stars		Luawa

	1	X	2
	2.03	2.9	3.91	Watch
	2	2.8	3.9
	2.02	2.88	3.87
	2	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	2.9 ↓ (2.92)	3.87 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wusum Stars
45.1%

Draw
31.4%

Luawa
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

31.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wusum Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Luawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wusum Stars than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wusum Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luawa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wusum Stars - Luawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Luawa has had a series of home games.

Wusum Stars could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wusum Stars won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wusum Stars	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wusum Stars
Sierra Leone Premier League
13.03.26	Ports Authority - Wusum Stars	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Wusum Stars - Wilberforce Strikers	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Wusum Stars - Star Sport Academy	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Old Edwardians - Wusum Stars	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wusum Stars - Bai Bureh Warriors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLW
- Luawa FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
14.03.26	Luawa - Freetown City	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Luawa - Ports Authority	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Luawa - Wilberforce Strikers	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Star Sport Academy - Luawa	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Luawa - Old Edwardians	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Sierra Leone Premier League
24.11.25	Luawa - Wusum Stars	0:0
14.04.25	Luawa - Wusum Stars	0:1

Wusum Stars - Luawa