The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Würzburger Kickers 27.9%
Draw 25%
Waldhof Mannheim 47.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.9%
25.9%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
26%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Würzburger Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Würzburger Kickers's form might have worsened.
Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waldhof Mannheim's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Würzburger Kickers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waldhof Mannheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
33. Rajkovacic M. (G) 17. Omore L. 4. De Medina N. 16. Breunig L. 21. Hemmerich L. 37. Franjic I. 27. Kiefersauer X. 6. Embaye N. 18. Evina F. 30. Bonga T. (C) 31. Kraus T.
1. Nijhuis T. (G) 25. Okeke J. 3. Polte M. 14. Ogbemudia O. 17. Keumo D. 21. Rieckmann J. 15. Kammerknecht C. (C) 28. Michel D. 7. Bierschenk L. 9. Gregorio G. 12. Thill V.
Substitutes
11. Berisha D. 5. Eberle L. 1. Hipper J. (G) 34. Karakaya B. 19. Kastanaras T. 8. Kinsombi D. 25. Meisel D. 9. Nischalke J. 13. Ochs P.
39. Bauer M. 13. Boyd T. 24. Klunter L. 11. Masca 35. Mendes D. 29. Muteba N. 16. Niemann J. (G) 10. Ulbricht J. 42. Zimmer D. (G)
Coaches
Schiele M.
Mota R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Omore L. 🟨,
39', Keumo D. 🟨,
41', Michel D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Kiefersauer X. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Michel D. ↓, Muteba N. ↑,
46', Bierschenk L. ↓, Masca ↑,
52', Thill V. 🟨,
56', Kraus T. 🟨,
60', Muteba N. 🟨,
62', Ogbemudia O. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
67', Gregorio G. ↓, Ulbricht J. ↑,
71', Kraus T. ↓, Kinsombi D. ↑,
80', Embaye N. ↓, Karakaya B. ↑,
80', Hemmerich L. ↓, Meisel D. ↑,
84', Keumo D. ↓, Mendes D. ↑,
85', Evina F. ↓, Ochs P. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Bonga T. ⚽, Kiefersauer X. (A),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 9th).
Recent results have been tough for Würzburger Kickers (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Waldhof have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Würzburger Kickers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Würzburger Kickers has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Waldhof has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Waldhof is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Würzburger Kickers has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Würzburger Kickers against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.7:1.7 per game).
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Rajkovacic M. (G) 
Omore L. 
De Medina N. 
Breunig L. 
Embaye N. 
Evina F. 
Nijhuis T. (G) 
Kammerknecht C. (C) 
Michel D. 
Gregorio G. 
Thill V. 
Berisha D. 
Nischalke J. 
Boyd T. 
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