Match Info

3. Liga - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Carl-Benz Stadion (Mannheim)

Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 12
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Waldhof Mannheim		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.08	3.65	3.05
	2.06	3.93	3.26
	1.96	4.15	3.14	Watch
	2	3.6	3
	2.06	3.7	3.19	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	3.78 ↓ (3.89)	3.15 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waldhof Mannheim
46.1%

Draw
24.5%

Ingolstadt
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

23.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waldhof Mannheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Waldhof will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waldhof: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ingolstadt (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nijhuis T. (G) 24. Klunter L. (C) 6. Hoffmann N. 4. Sechelmann T. 17. Abifade S. 27. Diakhaby A. 22. Sietan J. 14. Iwe E. 28. Michel D. 9. Lohkemper F. 13. Boyd T.	25. Eisele K. (G) 2. Hoppe M. 32. Lorenz S. 15. Scholz J. 24. Christensen G. 14. Plath M. 34. Frode L. (C) 10. Kaygin D. 22. Costly M. 9. Borchers M. 8. Carlsen F.
Substitutes
20. Asallari K. 10. Ferati A. 15. Karbstein M. 38. Masca 35. Mendes D. 16. Niemann J. (G) 21. Rieckmann J. 2. Voelcke S. 18. Yigit S.	4. Decker E. 30. Drakulic O. 5. Gul E. 43. Hapi F. 47. Klein D. (G) 23. Maljojoki J. 42. Ozden M. 39. Ozturk B. 33. Sekulovic D.
Coaches
Holtz L.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Christensen G. ↓, Maljojoki J. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Costly M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lohkemper F. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Frode L. (Own goal),
58', Iwe E. ↓, Masca ↑,
63', Borchers M. 🟨,
63', Hoffmann N. 🟨,
64', Borchers M. ↓, Drakulic O. ↑,
65', Sietan J. ↓, Ferati A. ↑,
69', Sechelmann T. 🟨,
71', Frode L. 🟨,
73', Boyd T. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Drakulic O. ⚽, Costly M. (A),
88', Sechelmann T. ↓, Karbstein M. ↑,
88', Kaygin D. ↓, Sekulovic D. ↑,
90+1', Maljojoki J. 🟨,
90+6', Sekulovic D. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Masca ⚽,
90+8', Carlsen F. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 1.

Waldhof has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ingolstadt's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Waldhof is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Waldhof won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
14.12.25	Jahn Regensburg - Waldhof Mannheim	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Schweinfurt - Waldhof Mannheim	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Ingolstadt - Hoffenheim II	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Osnabrück - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
19.01.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	0:0
04.08.24	Ingolstadt - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1
05.05.24	Ingolstadt - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1
02.12.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	1:1
15.03.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	3:2
10.09.22	Ingolstadt - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0
20.03.21	Ingolstadt - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0

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