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Current Win Probability
Waldhof Mannheim 52%
Draw 23.4%
Ingolstadt 24.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.1%
25.1%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
23.8%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waldhof Mannheim's performance.
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ingolstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waldhof Mannheim that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ingolstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Waldhof (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Waldhof Mannheim will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waldhof (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nijhuis T. (G) 24. Klunter L. (C) 15. Kammerknecht C. 14. Ogbemudia O. 17. Keumo D. 7. Bierschenk L. 8. Thalhammer M. 21. Rieckmann J. 12. Thill V. 10. Ulbricht J. 23. Mickels L.
47. Klein D. (G) 14. Plath M. 6. Antzoulas G. 15. Scholz J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 34. Frode L. 18. Bennetts K. 37. Kanuric B. 10. Kaygin D. 28. Velupillay N. 13. Lokotsch L. (C)
Substitutes
37. Bazee N. 13. Boyd T. 9. Gregorio G. 11. Masca 28. Michel D. 29. Muteba N. 16. Niemann J. (G) 25. Okeke J. 3. Polte M.
8. Carlsen F. 4. Decker E. 20. Deichmann Y. 5. Gul E. 1. Ponath M. (G) 41. Sapina V. 7. Seo Jong-min 17. Ugondu O.
Coaches
Mota R.
Beierlorzer A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Thalhammer M. 🟥,
34', Mota R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Mickels L. ↓, Masca ↑,
57', Frode L. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Lokotsch L. ⚽, Bennetts K. (A),
63', Kaygin D. ↓, Ugondu O. ↑,
63', Bennetts K. ↓, Ganda J. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Plath M. ⚽,
67', Frode L. ↓, Sapina V. ↑,
67', Kanuric B. ↓, Carlsen F. ↑,
70', Ulbricht J. ↓, Gregorio G. ↑,
70', Bierschenk L. ↓, Bazee N. ↑,
70', Klunter L. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,
77', Plath M. ↓, Deichmann Y. ↑,
83', Ganda J. 🟨,
88', 0 - 3, Ugondu O. ⚽, Rosenlocher L. (A),
90+1', Sapina V. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 0.
Waldhof has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ingolstadt has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ingolstadt may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Waldhof holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Waldhof has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:18 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Waldhof against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Ingolstadt
11
5
2
4
15:16
-1
17
7
Mannheim
11
5
1
5
20:17
3
16
Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now
Ingolstadt: 3.08% Mannheim: 1.31%
Last Results with these Odds
Waldhof Mannheim - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.08%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Ingolstadt - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.81%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Germany
International
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Nijhuis T. (G) 
Klunter L. (C) 
Kammerknecht C. 
Thill V. 
Mickels L. 
Antzoulas G. 
Kanuric B. 
Kaygin D. 
Velupillay N. 
Boyd T. 
Gregorio G. 
Michel D. 
Carlsen F. 
Seo Jong-min 
Ugondu O. 
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