Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 10

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	XV de Jaú		Rio Preto

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.25	3.1
	2.1	3.15	3.2
	2.13	3.2	3.28	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.14	3.44	3.23
	2.11	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.59)	3.27 ↑ (3.09)	3.17 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

XV de Jaú
43.3%

Draw
27.9%

Rio Preto
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.4%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in XV de Jaú's performance.

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Preto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with XV de Jaú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Preto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

XV de Jaú - Rio Preto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 🟥,
90+6', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 10).

Recent matches XV de Jaú is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Preto has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
19.02.25	Francana - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	XV de Jaú - Desportivo Brasil	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Sertãozinho - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	XV de Jaú - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Marília - XV de Jaú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLTL
- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
19.02.25	Lemense FC - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Rio Preto - Francana	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	União Suzano - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Preto - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Preto	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

XV de Jaú - Rio Preto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide