Match Info

I Liqa - Round 6

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday


	Xankəndi		Mingachevir

	1	X	2
	1.1	6.2	16.5
	1.11	6.7	22	Watch
	1.11	5.9	14
	1.07	7	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.77)	6.45 ↑ (3.6)	18.88 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xankəndi
81.4%

Draw
13.9%

Mingachevir
4.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

21.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xankəndi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xankəndi's performance.

Mingachevir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mingachevir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xankəndi than the current prediction. (-37.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xankəndi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mingachevir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Xankəndi - Mingachevir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Bashirov K. ⚽,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 7th and 9th in the I Liqa (Relegation)).

Xankəndi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Mingachevir has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Xankəndi as the clear and undisputed favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Khankendi	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
9	Mingachevir	6	1	1	4	5:14	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xankəndi FK
Azerbaijan First Division
15.10.26	Xankəndi - Shahdag Qusar	1:0 ✺
09.10.26	Shimal - Xankəndi	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Xankəndi - MOIK Baku	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Cəbrayıl - Xankəndi	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Xankəndi - Səbail	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLLT
- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
15.10.26	Mingachevir - Shimal	1:4 ✺
09.10.26	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	3:0 ✺
17.09.26	Mingachevir - Gəncəbasar	0:3 ✺
10.09.26	Səbail - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Xankəndi - Mingachevir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide