Match Info

I Liqa - Round 1

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Mingachevir		Zagatala

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.00	8.00	Watch
	1.26	5.14	8.03
	1.28	5.11	8.4	Watch
	1.25	5.05	7.95
	1.33	4.96	7.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.33)	5.05 ↑ (4.6)	8.04 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mingachevir
70.9%

Draw
17.9%

Zagatala
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

19.9%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Zagatala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Mingachevir - Zagatala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Huseynov R. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Kocharli B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 1, Sahbazli C. ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, Nagiyev R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 2.

In this match, Mingachevir is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mingachevir won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zaqatala	4	1	1	2	5:11	-6	4
8	Mingachevir	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
28.05.26	Gabala - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
22.05.26	Mingachevir - Səbail	4:1 ✺
15.05.26	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
05.05.26	Shahdag Qusar - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW
- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
22.05.26	Zagatala - Şəfa	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Baku Sporting - Zagatala	3:0 ✺
06.05.26	Zagatala - Səbail	0:3 ✺
29.04.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	7:1 ✺
22.04.26	Zagatala - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
29.04.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	7:1
13.02.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	0:0
23.10.25	Zagatala - Mingachevir	2:3
03.04.25	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:2
31.01.25	Zagatala - Mingachevir	2:1
Azerbaijan Cup
30.10.24	Mingachevir - Zagatala	1:0
Azerbaijan First Division
03.10.24	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:3

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