Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Xerez Deportivo		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.3
	2.82	2.68	2.62
	3.27	2.79	2.38
	2.88	2.94	2.5
	3.15	2.72	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	2.78 ↓ (3.05)	2.42 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
29.8%

Draw
32.7%

Yeclano Deportivo
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Xerez Deportivo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Yeclano Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Xerez Deportivo - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Udom E. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Iglesias D. Y. ⚽,
36', Ekerrete U. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 2 - 1, Morante D. (Own goal),

Preview

Xerez Deportivo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Yeclano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yeclano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Yeclano Deportivo - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Real Jaén - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	La Unión - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Minera	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Xerez Deportivo - Real Madrid C	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLL
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	CD Extremadura - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Yeclano Deportivo	0:3 ✺
13.08.25	Crevillente Deportivo - Yeclano Deportivo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.02.23	Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez Deportivo	1:0
18.09.22	Xerez Deportivo - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0

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