Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.15	4.25
	1.81	3.25	4.41
	1.82	3.32	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.32)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	4.33 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
50.7%

Draw
28.2%

Xerez Deportivo
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Jaén's performance.

Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xerez Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Real Jaén - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Dorado Perez C. D. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Burgos F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Martos M. ⚽,

Preview

Xerez Deportivo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Xerez Deportivo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jaén is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Antoniano - Real Jaén	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Real Jaén - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.25	Quintanar del Rey - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Socuéllamos - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.06.25	Real Jaén - Atlético Central	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWW
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	La Unión - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Minera	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Xerez Deportivo - Real Madrid C	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta B	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLT

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