Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday


	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.35
	4.85	3.95	1.55
	4.6	3.75	1.6
	4.8	3.87	1.69
	5	3.5	1.6
	5.05	3.98	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (2.85)	3.69 ↑ (2.99)	1.73 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard
20.7%

Draw
25.3%

Jiangxi Lushan
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

30.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard's form might have worsened.

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiangxi Lushan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	8.3%	58.3%

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Xinjiang will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Jiangxi Lushan will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jiangxi Lushan: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 12).

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Jiangxi Beidamen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Jiangxi Beidamen have a series of home games.

Jiangxi Beidamen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard FC
Chinese Jia League
10.08.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	3:0 ✺
06.08.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Kunshan	1:5 ✺
31.07.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
27.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	1:0 ✺
22.07.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Nantong Zhiyun	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
09.08.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:4 ✺
30.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren	3:1 ✺
27.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	1:0 ✺
23.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	1:0
11.12.21	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1
25.11.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	1:0
19.09.15	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0
31.05.15	Jiangxi Lushan - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	1:1

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Jiangxi Lushan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide