Match Info

Coupe du Trone - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Yacoub El Mansour		Maghreb Fez

	1	X	2
	3.33	2.81	2.14
	2.97	2.87	2.49	Watch
	3.2	2.88	2.15
	3.54	2.88	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (4.35)	2.86 ↓ (3.3)	2.23 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yacoub El Mansour
27.7%

Draw
31.6%

Maghreb Fez
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

27.8%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

27%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yacoub El Mansour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yacoub El Mansour's performance.

Maghreb Fez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maghreb Fez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yacoub El Mansour than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yacoub El Mansour that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maghreb Fez than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maghreb Fez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yacoub El Mansour - Maghreb Fez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Khorsa S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Yacoub El Mansour may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Maghreb Fez is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yacoub El Mansour won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Yacoub El Mansour won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Yacoub El Mansour
Moroccan Botola
11.05.26	Yacoub El Mansour - KAC Marrakech	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Olympique Dcheira - Yacoub El Mansour	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Berkane	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Wydad Casablanca - Yacoub El Mansour	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Yacoub El Mansour - FAR Rabat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.2 WTTWT
- Maghreb Fez
Moroccan Botola
10.05.26	Union de Touarga - Maghreb Fez	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Maghreb Fez - Raja Casablanca	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	CODM de Meknès - Maghreb Fez	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Maghreb Fez - Hassania Agadir	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Renaissance Zemamra - Maghreb Fez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
20.02.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Maghreb Fez	1:2

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