Match Info

Botola Pro - Round 21

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Olympique de Rabat (Rabat)

Referee: Jayed J. (Mar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Arryadia, SNRT Live


	Yacoub El Mansour		Union de Touarga

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.18	3	3.3
	2.19	3.01	3.3
	2.2	3.03	3.32	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.25
	2.16	2.98	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.07)	2.99 ↓ (3.03)	3.26 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yacoub El Mansour
42%

Draw
30.3%

Union de Touarga
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.9%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

29.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yacoub El Mansour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Union de Touarga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yacoub El Mansour than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union de Touarga than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Yacoub El Mansour - Union de Touarga Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Doughmi H. (G) 23. Ahannach S. 10. Ajoughlal Z. 8. Azzoubairi N. 15. Badri I. 2. Balouk M. 7. Fati Z. (C) 33. Khalloufi A. 21. Mansouri B. 28. Marour Z. 3. Morsil Y.	36. Bouelainine H. (G) 33. Ait Lamkadem R. (C) 2. Akharraz Y. 18. Arjoune O. 41. Ashabi M. 7. Dahmani Y. 4. El Khalej T. 30. Es Sahel M. 29. Fouzair M. 19. Moustaghfir N. 15. Regragui H.
Substitutes
19. Ahayaoui M. 9. Boussanane M. 30. Boussefiane H. 90. El Badoui M. 77. El Kaaba F. 16. Legnibi Y. 4. Nasserallah M. 20. Noussir Y. 99. Sayad I. (G)	1. Asmama R. (G) 32. Chakir A. 6. Danny 21. El Bahraoui B. 40. Hmad M. 13. Kajai Y. 45. Konan K. 25. Majni T. 39. Zraa Y.
Coaches
El Jabri M.	Mokhtari M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Balouk M. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 1 - 1, Dahmani Y. ⚽, Regragui H. (A),
25', Badri I. 🟨,
32', 1 - 2, Ashabi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Badri I. ↓, Noussir Y. ↑,
54', Akharraz Y. ↓, Majni T. ↑,
54', Es Sahel M. ↓, Danny ↑,
68', Ajoughlal Z. ↓, Boussefiane H. ↑,
73', Morsil Y. 🟨,
74', Marour Z. ↓, Legnibi Y. ↑,
74', Balouk M. ↓, El Badoui M. ↑,
77', Moustaghfir N. 🟨,
77', Fouzair M. ↓, Zraa Y. ↑,
79', Danny 🟨,
86', Mansouri B. ↓, Boussanane M. ↑,
86', Dahmani Y. ↓, Kajai Y. ↑,
87', Arjoune O. ↓, Konan K. ↑,
89', Regragui H. 🟨,
90+4', Legnibi Y. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Botola Pro (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2).

Yacoub El Mansour is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Union de Touarga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yacoub El Mansour could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yacoub El Mansour won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Union Touarga	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Union de Touarga - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 26.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Yacoub El Mansour
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
17.05.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Maghreb Fez	1:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
11.05.26	Yacoub El Mansour - KAC Marrakech	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Olympique Dcheira - Yacoub El Mansour	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Berkane	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Wydad Casablanca - Yacoub El Mansour	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.6 WWTTW
- Union de Touarga
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
16.05.26	Union de Touarga - Fath Riadi de Nador	1:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
10.05.26	Union de Touarga - Maghreb Fez	0:1 ✺
07.05.26	Berkane - Union de Touarga	4:3 ✺
03.05.26	Union de Touarga - FUS Rabat	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Olympique Dcheira - Union de Touarga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
26.10.25	Union de Touarga - Yacoub El Mansour	1:1

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