Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 29

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Yagüe		Oyonesa

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.35	1.98
	3.43	3.35	2.02
	3.37	3.28	2.08	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.41	3.3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.61)	3.28 ↓ (3.42)	2.01 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yagüe
27.1%

Draw
27.7%

Oyonesa
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.3%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yagüe's form might have worsened.

Oyonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oyonesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yagüe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oyonesa than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oyonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yagüe - Oyonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 1.

Yagüe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oyonesa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oyonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oyonesa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Yagüe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 2.8:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Yague	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6
13	Oyonesa	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Oyonesa - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.26%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
29.03.26	Arnedo - Yagüe	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Yagüe - Pradejón	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	San Marcial - Yagüe	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Yagüe - Anguiano	4:2 ✺
01.03.26	La Calzada - Yagüe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLWT
- SD Oyonesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
28.03.26	Oyonesa - Pradejón	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Anguiano - Oyonesa	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Oyonesa - Haro Deportivo	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Agoncillo - Oyonesa	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Oyonesa - Villegas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.11.25	Oyonesa - Yagüe	0:1
13.04.25	Yagüe - Oyonesa	3:3
18.12.24	Oyonesa - Yagüe	3:0
26.02.23	Yagüe - Oyonesa	2:3
23.10.22	Oyonesa - Yagüe	1:0
12.03.22	Yagüe - Oyonesa	3:2
08.05.21	Yagüe - Oyonesa	4:1

Yagüe - Oyonesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide