Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Yagüe		Pradejón

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.25
	1.75	3.58	4.27
	1.79	3.70	3.98	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.2
	1.7	3.52	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.69)	3.49 ↓ (3.63)	4.22 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yagüe
52.3%

Draw
26.1%

Pradejón
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

22.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pradejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pradejón than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Yagüe - Pradejón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟥,
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).

Recent performances by Yagüe have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pradejón is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Yagüe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Yagüe is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Yagüe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pradejon	6	3	1	2	9:7	2	10
10	Yague	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.03.26	San Marcial - Yagüe	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Yagüe - Anguiano	4:2 ✺
01.03.26	La Calzada - Yagüe	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Yagüe - Haro Deportivo	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Varea - Yagüe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWTLT
- CD Pradejón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
15.03.26	Pradejón - Anguiano	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Haro Deportivo - Pradejón	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Pradejón - Agoncillo	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Villegas - Pradejón	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Pradejón - Calahorra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
29.11.20	Yagüe - Pradejón	2:1
25.01.20	Yagüe - Pradejón	0:3
10.11.18	Yagüe - Pradejón	2:0

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