Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Yangju Citizen		Pocheon

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.74	3.31	2.05
	3.56	3.3	1.99	Watch
	3.5	3.15	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.04)	3.22 ↑ (3.09)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangju Citizen
25.8%

Draw
28.5%

Pocheon
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.7%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28.8%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pocheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pocheon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Yangju Citizen - Pocheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Yangju Citizen will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Pocheon will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Yangju Citizen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pocheon is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yangju Citizen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Yangju Citizen have a series of guest games.

Pocheon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Yangju Citizen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Yangju Citizen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
16.04.23	Hwaseong - Yangju Citizen	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Yangju Citizen - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Siheung - Yangju Citizen	3:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
30.03.23	Cheonan City - Yangju Citizen	3:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
25.03.23	Gimhae - Yangju Citizen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
08.04.23	Pocheon - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Daejeon Korail - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Chuncheon - Pocheon	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Pocheon - Gangneung	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Pocheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
16.07.22	Yangju Citizen - Pocheon	2:3
02.04.22	Pocheon - Yangju Citizen	1:0
South Korean Cup
14.04.21	Pocheon - Yangju Citizen	0:2

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