Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Hwaseong		Yangju Citizen

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.8
	1.53	3.75	6.4
	1.51	3.8	6.2
	1.51	3.65	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.8)	3.7 ↑ (3.26)	6.1 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
60.4%

Draw
24.7%

Yangju Citizen
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

27.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hwaseong's performance.

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yangju Citizen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hwaseong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+5%)

Hwaseong - Yangju Citizen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 and 14 in the zone K3 League (Relegation)).

Hwaseong is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yangju Citizen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hwaseong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hwaseong have a series of home games.

In this match Hwaseong is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hwaseong won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hwaseong won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
02.04.23	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.03.23	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	2:3 ✺
South Korean K3 League
25.03.23	Daejeon Korail - Hwaseong	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Hwaseong - Chuncheon	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Hwaseong - Gangneung	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWWW
- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
08.04.23	Yangju Citizen - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Siheung - Yangju Citizen	3:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
30.03.23	Cheonan City - Yangju Citizen	3:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
25.03.23	Gimhae - Yangju Citizen	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Yangju Citizen - Mokpo City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
17.09.22	Yangju Citizen - Hwaseong	2:1
15.05.22	Hwaseong - Yangju Citizen	1:0
16.10.21	Hwaseong - Yangju Citizen	3:2
11.04.21	Yangju Citizen - Hwaseong	0:3

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