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Current Win Probability
Yeni Malatyaspor 20.3%
Draw 24.7%
Adana Demirspor 55%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
25.1%
52.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.8%
20.1%
65.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yeni Malatyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Adana Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adana Demirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yeni Malatyaspor - Adana Demirspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 5).
Yeni Malatyaspor has the most likely position - 20 (77.3%), has project points - 27, has currently - 17, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Adana Demirspor has the most likely position - 4 (16.93%), has project points - 63, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality32, small importance20, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Yeni Malatyaspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Adana Demirspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Adana Demirspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Yeni Malatyaspor have a series of guest games.
Adana Demirspor will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Yeni Malatyaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
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