The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yeni Malatyaspor 27.8%
Draw 28.1%
Antalyaspor 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
28.1%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
20.2%
49.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yeni Malatyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeni Malatyaspor's form might have worsened.
Antalyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antalyaspor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antalyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yeni Malatyaspor - Antalyaspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 15).
Yeni Malatyaspor has the most likely position - 20 (61.4%), has project points - 29, has currently - 16, has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Antalyaspor has the most likely position - 16 (18.14%), has project points - 43, has currently - 28, has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality28, importance32, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 1.
Yeni Malatyaspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Antalyaspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Antalyaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Yeni Malatyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.