Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CONFEDERATION CUP - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Referee: El Banna M. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Young Africans		Marumo Gallants

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.2	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.75
	1.45	3.45	7.25
	1.49	3.39	7.29
	1.52	3.3	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.64	6.8	Watch
	1.55	3.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.75)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	6.61 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Africans
59.7%

Draw
26.6%

Marumo Gallants
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.9%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Africans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Young Africans's performance.

Marumo Gallants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marumo Gallants might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Africans than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Young Africans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marumo Gallants than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marumo Gallants could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Young Africans - Marumo Gallants Predictions

Users Predictions: Young Africans will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Young Africans is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marumo Gallants is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marumo Gallants could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Young Africans is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Africans SC
Tanzanian Premier League
04.05.23	Singida Fountain Gate - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
30.04.23	Young Africans - Rivers United	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Rivers United - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
16.04.23	Simba - Young Africans	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Young Africans - Kagera Sugar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWLW
- Marumo Gallants
South African Premier Soccer League
06.05.23	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
03.05.23	Durban City - Marumo Gallants	2:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
30.04.23	Marumo Gallants - Pyramids	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Pyramids - Marumo Gallants	1:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
18.04.23	Marumo Gallants - Supersport United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWTT

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