Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 6

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Thohoyandou Stadium (Thohoyandou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport PSL
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Marumo Gallants		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	7.25	4	1.43
	8.2	4.05	1.38
	10.28	1.33	4.28	Watch
	9.15	4.3	1.35
	7.2	3.8	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.42 ↑ (7.72)	3.5 ↓ (4.23)	1.97 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marumo Gallants
13%

Draw
31.4%

Mamelodi Sundowns
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

21.3%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

20.5%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marumo Gallants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marumo Gallants than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mamelodi Sundowns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mamelodi Sundowns will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Arubi W. (C) 13. Ncube S. 35. Sikhosana M. 18. Chabatsane M. 4. Mabotja L. 26. Sithole S. 10. Mpambaniso M. 50. Nhlapo S. 22. Msendami D. 15. Ndlondlo N. 39. Mabuza B.	30. Williams R. (C) 42. Khoza M. 4. Mokoena T. 24. Cupido K. 27. Morena T. 8. Adams J. 11. Allende M. 29. Lunga D. 9. Arthur Sales 13. Rayners I. 38. Shalulile P.
Substitutes
9. Clifford J. 21. James D. 5. Manaka E. 25. Mathiane T. 8. Mbhele S. 33. Mhlongo K. 16. Mlambo K. (G) 27. Motloung T. 7. Sithole K.	15. Aubaas B. J. 43. Lethlaku K. 17. Matthews T. 21. Mkhulise S. 6. Modiba A. 35. Mothiba L. 25. Mudau K. 40. Mvala M. 1. Onyango D. (G)
Coaches
Lafitte A.	Cardoso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Rayners I. ⚽, Allende M. (A),
34', Lunga D. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Cupido K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lunga D. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
46', Rayners I. ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
61', Adams J. ↓, Lethlaku K. ↑,
70', Mabuza B. ↓, Motloung T. ↑,
70', Morena T. ↓, Mudau K. ↑,
76', Arthur Sales ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
86', Ndlondlo N. ↓, Sithole K. ↑,
86', Msendami D. ↓, Clifford J. ↑,
87', Nhlapo S. 🟨,
89', Lethlaku K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marumo Gallants won 0.

Recent performances by Marumo Gallants have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mamelodi Sundowns is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marumo Gallants won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:25. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marumo Gallants won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:17. (average 0.5:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marumo Gallants
South African Premier Soccer League
31.08.25	Marumo Gallants - Polokwane City	1:1 ✺
26.08.25	Stellenbosch - Marumo Gallants	1:0 ✺
20.08.25	AmaZulu - Marumo Gallants	1:0 ✺
12.08.25	Marumo Gallants - Orlando Pirates	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Richards Bay - Marumo Gallants	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLLWW
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
14.09.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Magesi	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
27.08.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
23.08.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates	1:2 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
20.08.25	Magesi - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
19.02.25	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:3
South African Knockout
10.11.24	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2
South African Premier Soccer League
24.09.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants	4:1
06.05.23	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2
South African Nedbank Cup
02.03.23	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:3
South African Premier Soccer League
19.10.22	Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants	1:0
South African Nedbank Cup
28.05.22	Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants	2:1 ET

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