Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Austria	Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	RTL Club, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Max, TNT
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
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Indonesia	beIN Connect
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Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Japan	Wowow Live
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
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Norway	TV2 Play
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Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
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Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Young Boys		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.5	3.75	1.95
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.61	3.85	2.02
	3.76	3.89	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.8
	3.43	3.97	2.05
	3.4	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.1)	3.8 ↑ (3.59)	1.96 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Young Boys
26.9%

Draw
24.9%

Galatasaray
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

26.5%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.2%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galatasaray's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	9.3%	85.2%

Young Boys - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 103 users predict this event. Young Boys will win (votes: 5 - 4.9%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 91 - 88.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 82.1% – 94.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. von Ballmoos D. (C) 27. Blum L. 13. Camara M. 4. Zoukrou B. 3. Hadjam J. 77. Monteiro J. 20. Niasse C. 30. Lauper S. 11. Colley E. 35. Ganvoula S. 7. Ugrinic F.	1. Muslera F. (C) 24. Jelert E. 25. Nelsson V. 42. Bardakci A. 17. Kohn D. 34. Torreira L. 20. Gabriel Sara 53. Yilmaz B. A. 10. Mertens D. 7. Akturkoglu K. 9. Icardi M.
Substitutes
24. Athekame Z. 23. Benito L. 14. Chaiwa M. 15. Elia M. 5. Husic A. 10. Imeri K. 9. Itten C. 33. Keller M. (G) 39. Males D. 40. Marzino D. (G) 19. Persson N. 21. Virginius A.	11. Akgun Y. 83. Akman E. 90. Baltaci M. 44. Batshuayi M. 72. Bulbul A. T. 8. Demirbay K. 15. Dubois L. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 18. Kutlu B. 58. Yesilyurt A. 14. Zaha W. 22. Ziyech H.
Coaches
Rahmen P.	Saraloglu I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Monteiro J. ⚽, Ugrinic F. (A),
22', Bardakci A. 🟨,
26', Hadjam J. 🟨,
29', Lauper S. 🟨,
32', von Ballmoos D. ↓, Keller M. ↑,
43', Niasse C. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Monteiro J. ⚽, Ganvoula S. (A),
45+6', Torreira L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Muslera F. ↓, Guvenc G. ↑,
46', Mertens D. ↓, Ziyech H. ↑,
66', Jelert E. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Batshuayi M. ⚽, Torreira L. (A),
67', Hadjam J. ↓, Persson N. ↑,
70', Camara M. 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, Batshuayi M. ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),
74', Ganvoula S. ↓, Itten C. ↑,
74', Niasse C. ↓, Males D. ↑,
74', Monteiro J. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
79', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Dubois L. ↑,
84', Bardakci A. 🟨,
86', 3 - 2, Ugrinic F. (Pen),
87', Icardi M. ↓, Kutlu B. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Young Boys is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Galatasaray is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galatasaray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Galatasaray have a series of home games.

Galatasaray will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Young Boys: Benito L. (Knee Injury) Conte F. (Knee Injury) Janko S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Ayhan K. (Suspended) Sanchez D. (Muscle Injury) Yilmaz B. A. (Stomach Disorder)

There are questionable in Young Boys: Imeri K. (Injury) Lakomy L. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Young Boys won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Young Boys won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
10.08.24	Yverdon - Young Boys	2:2 ✺
04.08.24	Young Boys - Zürich	2:2 ✺
28.07.24	St. Gallen - Young Boys	4:0 ✺
24.07.24	Servette - Young Boys	3:1 ✺
21.07.24	Young Boys - Sion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLL
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
16.08.24	Konyaspor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Galatasaray - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super Cup
03.08.24	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Galatasaray - Parma	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Galatasaray - Lecce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uhren Cup
19.07.16	Young Boys - Galatasaray	1:1

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