Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Referee: Pereira M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ypiranga		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.7	5.5
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.53	3.7	6.43
	1.55	3.67	5.93	Watch
	1.44	3.7	6
	1.5	3.74	6.16	Watch
	1.5	3.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.78)	3.71 ↑ (3.25)	5.93 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
60.2%

Draw
24.5%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.5%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ypiranga's performance.

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ypiranga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Ypiranga - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alexander (G) 91. Anderson Uchoa (C) 8. Caio Mello 4. Fernando 100. Gedeilson 28. Heitor 30. Jhonatan 23. Mirandinha M. 79. Reifit 3. Willian Gomes 18. Ze Vitor	1. Douglas Dias (G) 15. Bruno Reis 99. Ciel (C) 21. de Souza Ienczczak N. 6. Ernandes 14. Igor Dutra 7. Marcelinho 8. Marciel 4. Naldo 20. Robson 17. Wilker
Substitutes
10. Alisson Taddei 34. Allan (G) 99. Amarildo 98. Caio Vitor 88. Clayton 9. Edson Carius 11. Fabricio Pereira 90. Foguinho 33. Lucas Marques 7. Mateus Anderson 2. Mendonca 15. Windson	3. Alisson 11. Gabryel Martins . Geaze (G) . Israel 9. Kiuan 26. Leo Gobo 5. Lincoln 19. Mattheus Silva 10. Romarinho 22. Vinicius Alves 28. Vinicius Paulista
Coaches
Thiago Carvalho	Kobayashi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Wilker ↓, Lincoln ↑,
46', Marcelinho ↓, Mattheus Silva ↑,
51', Bruno Reis 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽,
62', Robson 🟨,
64', Jhonatan ↓, Alisson Taddei ↑,
64', Caio Mello ↓, Clayton ↑,
64', Reifit ↓, Mateus Anderson ↑,
65', Igor Dutra 🟨,
65', de Souza Ienczczak N. ↓, Kiuan ↑,
65', Igor Dutra ↓, Gabryel Martins ↑,
68', 🟨,
76', Ze Vitor ↓, Edson Carius ↑,
76', Mirandinha M. ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
81', Robson ↓, Vinicius Alves ↑,
84', Israel 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Edson Carius ⚽,
90+7', Fabricio Pereira 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

The competitors look crappy now.

Ypiranga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ypiranga have a series of guest games.

In this match Ypiranga is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Copa do Brasil
13.07.24	Athletico Paranaense - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
07.07.24	Confiança - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Ypiranga - ABC	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
16.06.24	Remo - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWL
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
06.07.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Volta Redonda	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Remo - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2 ✺
15.06.24	Athletic Club - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
13.08.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ypiranga	1:2

Ypiranga - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide