Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)

Referee: De Castro C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.65	2.85	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.86	2.94
	2.8	2.72	2.94
	2.5	2.88	2.6
	2.6	2.88	2.67	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.65)	2.83 ↓ (2.95)	2.75 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
34.6%

Draw
32.2%

Ferroviária
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ferroviário will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviário: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Geaze (G) 3. Alisson 99. Ciel (C) 11. Gabryel Martins 14. Igor Dutra 7. Marcelinho 8. Marciel 16. Renan Luis 10. Romarinho 17. Wilker 27. Willian Rocha	1. Saulo (C) 9. de Moura C. 3. Gustavo Medina 6. Igor Fernandes 10. Juninho 5. Ricardinho 4. Ronaldo Alves 11. Vitor Barreto 2. Weverton 8. Xavier 7. Ze Mateus
Substitutes
18. Caio Rangel 29. Carlinhos 6. Ernandes 13. Geilson Souza 1. Henrique C. 9. Kiuan 5. Lincoln 19. Mattheus Silva 4. Naldo 22. Vinicius Alves 28. Vinicius Paulista 21. Vitinho	16. Caua A. 19. Denilson Goulart 22. Edson Lucas 18. Fernando Boldrin 14. Jackson 12. Leo Wall (G) 13. Maycon 17. Pablo 15. Paulinho Santos 21. Pedro P. 20. Victor Andrade
Coaches
Kobayashi P.	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Willian Rocha 🟨,
45+1', Gabryel Martins 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Igor Dutra ↓, Lincoln ↑,
63', Ze Mateus ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
63', Igor Fernandes ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
67', Gabryel Martins ↓, Ernandes ↑,
67', Romarinho ↓, Mattheus Silva ↑,
70', Ciel 🟨,
70', de Moura C. 🟨,
77', Xavier 🟨,
81', Juninho ↓, Fernando Boldrin ↑,
82', Fernando Boldrin 🟨,
86', Ciel ↓, Vinicius Alves ↑,
86', Marcelinho ↓, Vitinho ↑,
89', Ricardinho ↓, Denilson Goulart ↑,
89', Vitor Barreto ↓, Pedro P. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Recent matches Ferroviário is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferroviária is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviário could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferroviário won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviário won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
19.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2 ✺
15.06.24	Athletic Club - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
09.06.24	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Londrina	1:0 ✺
28.05.24	Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
16.06.24	Caxias - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
08.06.24	Ferroviária - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Tombense - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Figueirense - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Ferroviária - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
16.09.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ferroviária	2:1
13.09.23	Ferroviária - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0

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