Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 9

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Ypiranga		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.9	3	4
	2.01	3.07	4.26
	1.95	2.88	3.7
	1.93	3.2	3.92	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.13)	3.06 ↓ (5.5)	3.9 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
46.9%

Draw
29.7%

Operário Ferroviario
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

16.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário Ferroviario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ypiranga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Ypiranga - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Caique (G) 7. Erick 16. Felix 4. Heitor (C) 10. Joao Pedro 8. Lorran 11. MV 6. Ralph 27. Ronald 25. Tito 19. William Barbio	1. Rafael Santos (C) 10. Alisson Taddei 6. Arthur Neves 7. Erik Bessa 11. Felipe Augusto 5. Indio 3. Jonathan Costa 2. Savio 8. Vinicius Diniz 9. Vinicius Popo 4. Willian Machado
Substitutes
5. Clayton 2. Dudu 1. Edson (G) 17. Fabiao V. 20. Felipe Gedoz 3. Islan 30. Jhonatan Ribeiro 28. Netto 23. Pires W. 9. Rubens 18. Wanderson Martins 15. Windson	15. Alison 13. Allan Godoi 20. Claudino F. 18. Ferreira 21. Jean Carlos 12. Jeferson Romario (G) 14. Jonathan 17. Luidy 19. Neto Costa 16. Para 22. Ryan

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Operário Ferroviario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ypiranga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ypiranga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
11.06.23	Ypiranga - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
08.06.23	Figueirense - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Ypiranga - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Ypiranga - Manaus	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Altos - Ypiranga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie C
11.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
02.06.23	América RN - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Operário Ferroviario - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
24.06.18	Operário Ferroviario - Ypiranga	2:1
22.04.18	Ypiranga - Operário Ferroviario	2:1
Brazilian Serie D
02.08.15	Operário Ferroviario - Ypiranga	1:0

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